Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.025102 0.027000 0.028980 0.031204 0.033633 0.036209 0.039153
2025-01-19 0.022279 0.025024 0.028038 0.031606 0.035727 0.040353 0.045962
2025-01-26 0.020147 0.023369 0.027046 0.031577 0.037039 0.043450 0.051601
2025-02-02 0.018783 0.022366 0.026585 0.031960 0.038677 0.046865 0.057711
2025-02-09 0.017375 0.021140 0.025691 0.031650 0.039328 0.048994 0.062256
2025-02-16 0.016283 0.020189 0.025021 0.031506 0.040092 0.051221 0.066991
2025-02-23 0.015304 0.019297 0.024336 0.031251 0.040633 0.053122 0.071350
2025-03-02 0.014546 0.018626 0.023874 0.031227 0.041434 0.055366 0.076286
2025-03-09 0.013719 0.017808 0.023157 0.030789 0.041605 0.056707 0.079975
2025-03-16 0.012923 0.016983 0.022375 0.030197 0.041496 0.057605 0.083028
2025-03-23 0.012311 0.016372 0.021844 0.029913 0.041786 0.059066 0.086990
2025-03-30 0.011758 0.015811 0.021349 0.029641 0.042058 0.060487 0.090957
2025-04-06 0.011117 0.015103 0.020617 0.028993 0.041740 0.061010 0.093560
2025-04-13 0.010812 0.014856 0.020528 0.029282 0.042849 0.063787 0.100027
2025-04-20 0.010432 0.014481 0.020232 0.029237 0.043428 0.065750 0.105268
2025-04-27 0.010190 0.014293 0.020199 0.029582 0.044630 0.068772 0.112539
2025-05-04 0.009793 0.013859 0.019777 0.029299 0.044798 0.070093 0.116909
2025-05-11 0.009463 0.013510 0.019464 0.029167 0.045197 0.071811 0.122102
2025-05-18 0.009128 0.013139 0.019102 0.028934 0.045407 0.073207 0.126795
2025-05-25 0.008866 0.012868 0.018879 0.028912 0.045963 0.075224 0.132801
2025-06-01 0.008529 0.012468 0.018440 0.028512 0.045846 0.076037 0.136536
2025-06-08 0.008179 0.012036 0.017931 0.027972 0.045455 0.076323 0.139244
2025-06-15 0.007911 0.011723 0.017600 0.027713 0.045538 0.077473 0.143759